Comments

  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Thanks Steven. Let me give some thought to any add-ons. I agree with your statement about 100% mechanical methods and angles. Tom did post this-- "hitting over 50% winners in the top 2, 64% in the top 3, and 25% exactas in the top 3." Thanks again for your help.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    I'm not sure what to make of the results. Below is from yesterday 15JAN2022 at GPX and TAM. I tossed 1 maiden race at TAM since there were several FTS's. I highlighted a couple of overlays. There is at least 1 overlay in almost every race. So I think you need to add additional handicapping and/or use in verticals and horizontals. I know Tom provided a few working examples at the start. Perhaps he can provide a few more.
    GPX
    ML 3 / UOL 4.5
    ML 3.5 / UOL 3.5
    1.2 / 4.5
    15 / 15
    4.5 / 3.5
    1.2 / 1.8
    4 / 2.5
    4 / 4
    2.5 / 2
    3.5 / 3.5
    20 / 56
    TAM
    ML 30 / UOL 22
    ML 2 / UOL 1.6
    3 / 15
    3.5 / 3.5
    4 / 6
    2 / 3.5
    5 / 7
    10 / 4.5
    2 / 1.8
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Thanks Steven. I'm very busy this week. But I have the new version downloaded and will try and test drive it this weekend or sometime next week. Thanks, Jim.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Okay, if it's an easy fix.
  • 2022 Race Of The Day Thread
    I like your top 2 selections (+comments). First time starters, #6 and #12, are well placed here. Like the #6 workouts and post. #3 likes to hang around.
    TRI: #5 - 11/6/12 - 11/6/12/3. #6 - 5/11/12 - 5/11/12/3.
  • 2022 Race Of The Day Thread
    You picked a tough one here. Can make a case for many of these.
    #8: Sunset Louise. Agree with your comments. Like her post off the rail where Carmouche can survey the inside horses. Like her chances today.
    #1A: Sweet Lies. Turf to Dirt, and 1st Lasix. JOrtiz doesn't return is a little concerning, but Motion is a solid trainer.
    #4. Know It All Audrey. Bobbled, bumped and stumbled at the gate in her three only starts. Can hit the board with a better start.
    #8 / 1A / 4.
  • 2022 Race Of The Day Thread
    TVG earlier said moved to the AW Tapeta, not the main track.
  • 2022 Race Of The Day Thread
    #5 The Virginian has scratched, so has the #6, and off the turf.

    #7 Citrus Burst. Lanerie has been having an awful meet, but the entry looks to be well placed. Enough speed up front, should be able to close at a price.
    #9 Artemus Citylimits. See comments above.
    #3 Dubai Key. Duels with #1 Quick Tempo.

    Win: #7
    Exacta Key Box: #7 - 9/3
    Tri: #7 - 9/3 - All. #9/3 - 7 - All.
  • Today's Vulnerable Favorites
    Ultimate Odds Line AQU R4: #7 didn't make the top 5.
    #6 (ML 3-1 / UOL 2.5-1)
    #1 (6 / 3.5)
    #9 (6 / 6)
    #4 (15 / 8)
    #5 (5 / 8)
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Okay, I was not aware of this rule-- "the software will only rank the top 5 horses, all others will be 100-1." I checked several entries, and this appears to be what's happening. The top 6th or 7th low ML entries that I checked are earning points in the 5 categories, but LESS than the top 5, therefore are 100-1. I think you'll see the same. Just had me concerned when I saw it. Thanks, again-- Jim.
  • GP/AQU Selections 12/30/2021
    Slow day for me and my selections.
    GPX
    R6 - #8. Competitive speed. +TRN/JKY. 2nd - $8.00.
    R7 - #4. Class drop. Dirt to AW with Late pace. Out.

    FGX
    R2 - #5. Competitive speed. 1st Blinkers with a bit of early speed. 3rd.
    R5 - #6. Class drop. 2nd off layoff. Out.
    R9 - #7. MSW to MdClm. Shortens up a bit. +Jockey change. Out.
  • GP/AQU Selections 12/30/2021
    GPX
    R6 - #8. Competitive speed. +TRN/JKY.
    R7 - #4. Class drop. Dirt to AW with Late pace.

    FGX
    R2 - #5. Competitive speed. 1st Blinkers with a bit of early speed.
    R5 - #6. Class drop. 2nd off layoff.
    R9 - #7. MSW to MdClm. Shortens up a bit. +Jockey change.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Good morning Steven. There appears to be a bug where some UOL's are defaulting to 100-1. I checked a few entries today 12/30 from AQU, GPX and FGX. I tried to find a pattern, but didn't see anything. If you check some of the low ML entries, 3-1, 4-1, etc, you'll see where the UOL's are 100-1. Thanks, Jim.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Thanks for the updates Steven. Mixed results today. But, just looking for overlays with no other handicapping. 2 Wins and 5 Places. Did catch another $40+ winner. Also, noticed a few selections that were bet down to, or close to the UOL, that would have been thrown out if you were simply looking only for strong overlays.
    FGX
    R3 - #4. (ML 5-1 / UOL 2-1). Out. #10 (ML 10-1 / UOL 4.5-1). Out.
    R4 - #2 (6 / 2).Out.
    R5 - #1 (8 / 5). 2nd - $9.20. #13 (10 / 3.5). Out.
    R7 - #9 (8 / 2.5). Out. #3 (6 / 3).Out.
    R8 - #1 (8 / 3.5).2nd - $5.20.
    R9 - #6 (8 / 2.5). Out. #12 (15 / 3.5). Out.
    R10 - #7 (8 / 2.5). 3rd.

    HAW
    R1 - #5 (5 / 2.5). 1st - $7.80 / $4.20.
    R2 - #3 (6 / 3). 2nd - $5.20.
    R5 - #1 (10 / 4.5). Out.
    R6 - #10 (8 / 3.5). Out.
    R7 - #6 (8 / 3).Out. #10 (12 / 6). Out.
    R8 - #5 (4.5 / 2). 2nd - $3.20.
    R9 - #2 (15 / 7). Out.

    PRX
    R3 - #9 (5 / 2.5). Out.
    R4 - #4 (4.5 / 2.5). Out.
    R6 - #1 (4.5 / 2). Out. #8 (6 / 3.5).Out.
    R7 - #6 (5 / 1.4). Out.
    R8 - #9 (10 / 3). 1st - $47.20 / $15.20.
    R10 - #6 (6 / 2.5). Out. #5 (6 / 3). 2nd - $6.20.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    FGX and HAW updates after scratches. FYI. Remember, I'm using the ML. With scratches, real-time odds come into play, and some of the selections are no longer overlays.
    FGX
    R3 - #4. (ML 5-1 / UOL 2-1). #10 (ML 10-1 / UOL 4.5-1).
    R4 - #2 (6 / 2).
    R5 - #1 (8 / 5). #13 (10 / 3.5).
    R7 - #9 (8 / 2.5). #3 (6 / 3).
    R8 - #1 (8 / 3.5).
    R9 - #6 (8 / 2.5). #12 (15 / 3.5).
    R10 - #7 (8 / 2.5).

    HAW
    R1 - #5 (5 / 2.5).
    R2 - #3 (6 / 3).
    R5 - #1 (10 / 4.5).
    R6 - #10 (8 / 3.5).
    R7 - #6 (8 / 3). #10 (12 / 6).
    R8 - #5 (4.5 / 2).
    R9 - #2 (15 / 7).
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    PRX updates after scratches.
    R3 - #9 (5 / 2.5).
    R4 - #4 (4.5 / 2.5).
    R6 - #1 (4.5 / 2). #8 (6 / 3.5).
    R7 - #6 (5 / 1.4).
    R8 - #9 (10 / 3).
    R10 - #6 (6 / 2.5). #5 (6 / 3).
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Let's try a few tracks today 27DEC2021.
    FGX
    R3 - #4. (ML 5-1 / UOL 2-1). #10 (ML 10-1 / UOL 4.5-1).
    R4 - #2 (6 / 2.5).
    R5 - #1 (8 / 5).
    R7 - #2 (8 / 4).
    R9 - #6 (8 / 2.5). #12 (15 / 3.5).
    R10 - #7 (8 / 2.5).

    HAW
    R2 - #3 (6 / 3.5).
    R5 - #1 (10 / 4.5).
    R6 - #10 (8 / 3.5).
    R7 - #6 (8 / 3). #10 (12 / 6).
    R8 - #5 (4.5 / 2).
    R9 - #2 (15 / 7).

    PRX
    R2 - #6 (15 / 8).
    R3 - #9 (5 / 2.5).
    R4 - #4 (4.5 / 2.5).
    R6 - #1 (4.5 / 2). #8 (6 / 3.5).
    R7 - #6 (5 / 1.4).
    R8 - #9 (10 / 3.5).
    R9 - #4 (15 / 7).
    R10 - #6 (6 / 2.5). #5 (6 / 3.0).
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    I wasn't sure what to expect. Looks like you can work this into your handicapping. Not sure how many $48.20 winners you'll see. I did see where Tom worked some of his picks into Exactas. 8 races-- 2 Winners and 3 Places.
    GPX
    R3 - #4. ML 5-1 / UOL 3.5-1. +Trn/Jockey combo. +Trn 2nd off layoff. 3rd.
    R5 - #2. 8-1 / 4-1. Surf change AW to Turf. +Jockey change. 2nd off layoff. Out.
    R7 - #4. 5-1 / 2-1. Jockey change. 2nd after claim. 2nd - $5.20.
    R10 - #1. 4-1 / 1.8-1. Best Speed. AQU Shipper. MSW to MdClm drop. 2nd - $3.80.

    TAM
    R4 - #4. 8-1 / 3-1. 3.5 length winner last out. Back in 13 days. Needs to repeat Speed. 2nd - $6.20.
    R5 - #5. 12-1 / 4.5-1. Broke Maiden first out in last. Dirt to Turf, Sprint to Route. 1st - $48.20 / $20.60.
    R7 - #9. 4-1 / 2-1. Best Speed. Ships in from AQU. +Jockey change. 1st - $7.40 / $3.60.
    R8 - #3. 8-1 / 4.5-1. +Trn/Jockey combo. Out.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Here's another one at TAM after scratches:
    R8 - #3. 8-1 / 4.5-1. +Trn/Jockey combo.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Looks good, easy to use. Test drive, simply looking for UOL overlays.
    GPX
    R3 - #4. ML 5-1 / UOL 3.5-1. +Trn/Jockey combo. +Trn 2nd off layoff.
    R5 - #2. 8-1 / 4-1. Surf change AW to Turf. +Jockey change. 2nd off layoff.
    R7 - #4. 5-1 / 2-1. Jockey change. 2nd after claim.
    R10 - #1. 4-1 / 1.8-1. Best Speed. AQU Shipper. MSW to MdClm drop.

    TAM
    R4 - #4. 8-1 / 3-1. 3.5 length winner last out. Back in 13 days. Needs to repeat Speed.
    R5 - #5. 12-1 / 4.5-1. Broke Maiden first out in last. Dirt to Turf, Sprint to Route.
    R7 - #9. 4-1 / 2-1. Best Speed. Ships in from AQU. +Jockey change.
    Let's see if we can catch a few winners. Thanks, Jim.