Comments

  • Excel Marco
    Thanks for the offer Biniak but I think I'm going Dave and Ranch's route. Although my first "route" was going to be a "right turn", it looks like I may have to do this with "three lefts".:rofl:
  • Excel Marco
    Yes I wrote the code. You and ranchwest seem to be thinking alike. I am going to look at the code and see what I can come up with.
  • Excel Marco
    I had not thought of that. I think maybe this could be done. I'll need to sit and ponder a bit and see what I can come up with but I'm still interested in the marco.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Well we did substitute trainer win percentage for average class of the last 3 races but you have a good point. Roughly, how did they run?

    I've been at this long enought to realize that a 100% mechanical method is probably not going to do it for most people (ask me how I know), but it could be a good starting place.

    I'm open to adding something to the UOL program as long as it's not a multi-hour type deal so if anyone has any suggestions, let me know.

    And I'm not really sure that a ML 30 / UOL 22 is a legitmate overlay.
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    Hey Tony. Sorry to hear about your family. I'm sure all of us wish you strength and healing.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Here is Toms Ultimate Odds Line V2.3. All odds are now shown not just the top 5, I updated the instructions to match the new output and also have included Toms Ultimate Odds Line pdf "how to".

    As always, let me know if (when) you find any bugs or if you have questions.
    Attachment
    Toms Ultimate Odds Line V.2.3 (1M)
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Jim, I may have misinterpreted Tom's instructions so if you think it's worth it, I can change the program so All the horses get an odds line. It's an easy fix so don't worry about creating work.
  • Oaklawn Park Handicapping Info 2021-22
    I checked. While it says GPX, it is really OPX, but I did change the name and here it is.

    And erratic is spelled erratic.
    Attachment
    OPX_2021_Dirt_Routes (73K)
  • Oaklawn Park Handicapping Info 2021-22
    Dirt Routes
    Attachment
    GPX_2021_Dirt_Routes (95K)
  • Oaklawn Park Handicapping Info 2021-22
    Dirt Sprints
    Attachment
    OPX_FAll_2021_DIRT_SPRINTS (96K)
  • Oaklawn Park Handicapping Info 2021-22
    Sorry guys, things are even more eratic than usually around here. Here is OPX 12.3.2021 to 12.31.2021.

    If you notice such things, there is a new column Q1_LRS1_57. This is sort of a spot play where that looks for the horse with the number 1 Q Speed horse (top ranked regardless of number) that also has the best (top ranked) last race speed number. I'll post up sprints and routes next.
    Attachment
    OPX_FALL_2021_All (96K)
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    I’ve not looked at this yet but the software will only rank the top 5 horses, all others will be 100-1. And that is based on the horses cumulative rank in the 5 categories all as per Tom’s methodology ( ml odds is not a criteria) And then on top of all that, it is not a mathematical odds line.

    I’ll have a look and see if something else is going on.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    Glad someone is using this.

    Here is the latest version of TUOL (TOMS ULTIMATE ODDS LINE). I corrected the heading to be consistant with the version (V2.2 now), cleaned up the interface just a little bit (you may not even notice), updated the instructions and now Tom's PDF is included in the zipped file.
    Attachment
    Toms Ultimate Odds Line (1M)
  • Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
    Merry Christmas everyonw.

    May all your tickets be winnners!
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    I think this one got Jim's comments incorporated.
    Attachment
    UOL2.1 (137K)
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software
    I need to check a few things with the coding. 1). If the Score falls in between two Odds, which Odds are you defaulting to? For example, Scores 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22, 24, 25, 27, 28 etc. For example, if the Score is 16, is the Odds 6-1 or 7-1? Score 28, 3-1 or 7-2? Seems in Tom's examples he went both ways. I would recommend the lower, 16 = 6-1, and 28 = 7-2.
    2). How are you Scoring multiple ties? For example, 102, 87, 81, 81, 81. [10 - 6 - ? - ? - ?]. For example, 20, 19, 16, 16, 15. [10 - 6 - ? - ? - ?]. Thanks, Jim.


    It looks like I am using 16 = 7-1, 28 = 3-1 so I'm on the higher side.
    I can get this changed to the lower side but please note that this in not high priority right now. I'll let you know when I get to it.

    And....
    102, 87, 81, 81, 81. [10 - 6 - 4 - 4 - 4].
    20, 19, 16, 16, 15. [10 - 6 - 4 - 4 - 1].
  • Oaklawn Park 2021-22 Selections Thread Part 2
    Oakland Park
    12.19.21

    R1: 8*-6-1
    Results: 3-7-4
    VF did not win

    R2: 7-2-1
    Results: 6-3-2
    2 @ 5.4 $0.00 $0.00 $3.40

    R3: 2-1-7
    Results: 3-1-5
    1 @ 5 $0.00 $6.40 $5.80

    R4: 1-2-6
    Results: 7-10-2
    2 @ 1.8 $0.00 $0.00 $3.20

    R5: 4-11*-8
    Results: 3-11-1
    11 @ 1.7 $0.00 $3.20 $2.60
    VF won

    R6: 7-1-2*
    Results: 6-5-3
    VF did not win

    R7: 9-12-10
    Results: 6-1-10
    10 @ 2 $0.00 $3.20 $2.80

    R8: 1-7-4
    Results: 1-7-6
    1 disqualified so 7 won
    1 @ .5
    7 @ 5.6 $13.20 $4.20 $3.00 >> Not going to count this one as a win


    R9: 7-4-10
    Results: 10-8-5
    10 @ 20.3 $42.60 $21.20 $11.80

    Summary
    Top pick 1 for 10 but was disqualified – 10%
    $ won $0.00
    $ Bet $18.00
    $ Return -$18.00

    Top 2 picks 1 for 10 – 10%
    $ won $4.20
    $ Bet $36.00
    $ Return -$31.80

    Top 3 picks 2 for 10 – 20%
    $ won $46.80
    $ Bet $54.00
    $ Return -$7.20

    3 Day Summary
    Top pick 6 for 28 – 21.4%
    $ won $31.60
    $ Bet $56.00
    $ Return -$24.40

    Top 2 picks 12 for 28 – 42.9%
    $ won $91.80
    $ Bet $94.00
    $ Return -$2.20

    Top 3 picks 16 for 28 – 57.1%
    $ won $160.20
    $ Bet $164.00
    $ Return -$3.80

    I think. If it looks wonkey, it is wonkey.
  • Tom's Ulitmate Odds Line - The Software


    Just to clear a thing or two/three...

    For example:

    If the speed ratings go

    85
    79
    82
    85
    60
    44
    39
    32
    The rankings are line this

    85 - 1
    79 - 4
    82 - 3
    85 - 1
    60 - 5
    44 - 6
    39 - 7
    32 - 8

    There is not "2" since #1 is tied. Numerical values would then be

    85 -> 10
    79 -> 2
    82 -> 4
    85 -> 10
    60 -> 1
    44 -> 0
    39 -> 0
    32 -> 0

    No "6" rating due to there being no "2" ranking. I hope that's the issue.

    And I fixed the LPLR and UOL thing. V2.0
    Attachment
    UOL2.0 (137K)
  • Oaklawn Park 2021-22 Selections Thread Part 2
    Oakland Park
    12.19.21

    R1: 8*-6-1

    R2: 7-2-1

    R3: 2-1-7

    R4: 1-2-6

    R5: 4-11*-8

    R6: 7-1-2*

    R7: 9-12-10

    R8: 1-7-4

    R9: 7-4-10

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